StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Yannick Hanfmann v Arthur Fils

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 00:08 UTC

Slutresultat: Yannick Hanfmann 0–2 Arthur Fils

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Yannick Hanfmann (Hemma)

Prognos 25.20%3.97rättvist odds
EV +7.09%
Fördel +1.67%
Kelly +2.18%
Tillväxt +0.154%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.30%25.09%25.45%27.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.793.824.2528.57%26.40%26.18%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Borta)

Prognos 74.80%1.34rättvist odds
EV -2.76%
Fördel -2.12%
Kelly -9.19%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.92%74.91%74.55%77.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.35%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Yannick Hanfmann (Hemma): 25.20%; Arthur Fils (Borta): 74.80%. För Yannick Hanfmann (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.97. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.09%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.09%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.154%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 19:15
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.31%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 23:00
Pinnacle🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.55%E +0.627%K +0.831%G +0.021%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +2.05%E +0.505%K +0.671%G +0.014%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 16:49
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +1.04%E +0.259%K +0.345%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 00:05
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:45
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 21:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 21:34
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 00:04
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 14:14
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:09
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 23:59
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:19
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:13
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:09
Fliff🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.24%E -0.845%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:34
GTbets🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 09:08
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 09:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 23:15
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:10
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 21:29
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 21:29
DraftKings🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 00:00
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 00:05
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 00:04
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 23:54
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 00:04
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 00:04
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 00:00
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 15:09
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:53
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 22:53
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 00:05
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:04
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 22:58
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 00:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
Matchbook◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-08-16 00:05
ProphetX◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-08-16 00:05
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-08-16 00:05
Novig◎4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17%2.8%2026-08-16 00:05