Język:Polski
Yannick Hanfmann v Arthur Fils
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 25.20%3.97kurs godziwy
EV +7.09%
Przewaga +1.67%
Kelly +2.18%
Wzrost +0.154%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.30%25.09%25.45%27.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.503.793.824.2528.57%26.40%26.18%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arthur Fils (Goście)
Prognoza 74.80%1.34kurs godziwy
EV -2.76%
Przewaga -2.12%
Kelly -9.19%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.92%74.91%74.55%77.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.35%79.37%76.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze): 25.20%; Arthur Fils (Goście): 74.80%. Dla wyniku Yannick Hanfmann (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.97. 9 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +7.09%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.09%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.154% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.31%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.55%E +0.627%K +0.831%G +0.021% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +2.05%E +0.505%K +0.671%G +0.014% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +1.04%E +0.259%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:13 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.24%E -0.845%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 09:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |