Idioma:Español
Yannick Hanfmann v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yannick Hanfmann (Local)
Predicción 25.20%3.97momio equitativo
EV +7.09%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +2.18%
Crecimiento +0.154%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%25.09%25.45%27.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.793.824.2528.57%26.40%26.18%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 74.80%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -9.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.92%74.91%74.55%77.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.35%79.37%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Yannick Hanfmann (Local): 25.20%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 74.80%. Para Yannick Hanfmann (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.97. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.09%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.09%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.154% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.31%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.55%E +0.627%K +0.831%G +0.021% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +2.05%E +0.505%K +0.671%G +0.014% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +1.04%E +0.259%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:13 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.24%E -0.845%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 09:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |