Lingua:Italiano
Yannick Hanfmann v Arthur Fils
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Yannick Hanfmann (Casa)
Previsione 25.20%3.97quota equa
EV +7.09%
Vantaggio +1.67%
Kelly +2.18%
Crescita +0.154%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.30%25.09%25.45%27.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.793.824.2528.57%26.40%26.18%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Arthur Fils (Trasferta)
Previsione 74.80%1.34quota equa
EV -2.76%
Vantaggio -2.12%
Kelly -9.19%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.92%74.91%74.55%77.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.261.261.3082.64%79.35%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Yannick Hanfmann (Casa): 25.20%; Arthur Fils (Trasferta): 74.80%. Per Yannick Hanfmann (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.97. 9 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.09%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.09%E +1.67%K +2.18%G +0.154% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 19:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +3.31%E +0.806%K +1.07%G +0.035% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.55%E +0.627%K +0.831%G +0.021% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-15 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +2.05%E +0.505%K +0.671%G +0.014% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV +1.04%E +0.259%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.787%E +0.197%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV +0.283%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -1.73%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:13 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.99%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -3.24%E -0.845%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 09:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -6.27%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.72%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.29%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 22:53 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.76%E -2.12%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.50%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 00:04 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 00:05 |