Language:English
Jiri Lehecka v Matteo Berrettini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 63.74%1.57fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +5.27%
Growth +0.172%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%63.53%63.41%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.6270.42%67.30%66.67%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visit)
Prediction 36.26%2.76fair odd
EV +0.427%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.241%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%36.47%36.59%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.602.602.7743.48%38.40%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 63.74%; Matteo Berrettini (Visit): 36.26%. For Jiri Lehecka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.27%E +2.02%K +5.27%G +0.172% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 06:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.47%E -1.61%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -9.00%E -3.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.75%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.39%E -0.509%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.30%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.298%E -0.108%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 22:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |