Idioma:Español
Jiri Lehecka v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Predicción 63.74%1.57momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +5.27%
Crecimiento +0.172%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%63.53%63.41%65.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.491.501.6270.42%67.30%66.67%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 36.26%2.76momio equitativo
EV +0.427%
Ventaja +0.154%
Kelly +0.241%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.47%36.59%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.602.602.7743.48%38.40%38.46%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 63.74%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 36.26%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.57. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.27%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.27%E +2.02%K +5.27%G +0.172% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 06:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.47%E -1.61%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -9.00%E -3.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.75%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.39%E -0.509%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.30%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.298%E -0.108%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 22:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |