StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka v Matteo Berrettini

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-15 22:26 UTC

Endstand: Jiri Lehecka 2–1 Matteo Berrettini

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jiri Lehecka (Heim)

Prognose 63.74%1.57faire Quote
EV +3.27%
Vorteil +2.02%
Kelly +5.27%
Wachstum +0.172%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.67%63.53%63.41%65.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.421.491.501.6270.42%67.30%66.67%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.26%2.76faire Quote
EV +0.427%
Vorteil +0.154%
Kelly +0.241%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.52%36.47%36.59%41.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.602.602.7743.48%38.40%38.46%36.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jiri Lehecka (Heim): 63.74%; Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts): 36.26%. Für Jiri Lehecka (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.57. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.62 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.27%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.27%E +2.02%K +5.27%G +0.172%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 06:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.47%E -1.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -9.00%E -3.59%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.75%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.39%E -0.509%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 22:19
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 22:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 22:23
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 22:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-15 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-15 22:25
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:44
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.30%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 22:25
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.298%E -0.108%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:44
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:44
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 20:40
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 20:44
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 22:23
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:09
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 16:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 20:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-08-15 22:25
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-08-15 22:20
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%2.6%2026-08-15 22:25