Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jiri Lehecka v Matteo Berrettini

Początek: 2026-08-15 22:26 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jiri Lehecka 2–1 Matteo Berrettini

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.74%1.57kurs godziwy
EV +3.27%
Przewaga +2.02%
Kelly +5.27%
Wzrost +0.172%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.67%63.53%63.41%65.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.421.491.501.6270.42%67.30%66.67%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Matteo Berrettini (Goście)

Prognoza 36.26%2.76kurs godziwy
EV +0.427%
Przewaga +0.154%
Kelly +0.241%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.77

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.52%36.47%36.59%41.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.602.602.7743.48%38.40%38.46%36.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze): 63.74%; Matteo Berrettini (Goście): 36.26%. Dla wyniku Jiri Lehecka (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.57. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.62, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.27%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.27%E +2.02%K +5.27%G +0.172%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 06:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.47%E -1.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -9.00%E -3.59%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.75%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.39%E -0.509%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 22:19
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 22:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 22:23
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 22:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-15 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-15 22:25
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:44
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.30%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 22:25
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.298%E -0.108%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:44
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:44
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 20:40
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 20:44
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 22:23
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:09
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 16:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 20:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-08-15 22:25
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-08-15 22:20
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%2.6%2026-08-15 22:25