StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka v Matteo Berrettini

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 22:26 UTC

Slutresultat: Jiri Lehecka 2–1 Matteo Berrettini

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka (Hemma)

Prognos 63.74%1.57rättvist odds
EV +3.27%
Fördel +2.02%
Kelly +5.27%
Tillväxt +0.172%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.67%63.53%63.41%65.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.491.501.6270.42%67.30%66.67%61.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Matteo Berrettini (Borta)

Prognos 36.26%2.76rättvist odds
EV +0.427%
Fördel +0.154%
Kelly +0.241%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.52%36.47%36.59%41.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.602.602.7743.48%38.40%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jiri Lehecka (Hemma): 63.74%; Matteo Berrettini (Borta): 36.26%. För Jiri Lehecka (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.57. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.62, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.27%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.27%E +2.02%K +5.27%G +0.172%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 06:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.47%E -1.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:49
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-15 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -9.00%E -3.59%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 22:25
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.75%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.39%E -0.509%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 22:19
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 22:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 22:23
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 19:14
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:10
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 22:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-15 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-15 22:25
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:44
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.30%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 22:25
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.298%E -0.108%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 20:44
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 20:44
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 20:40
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 20:44
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 22:23
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:09
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 22:19
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 16:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 20:44
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 20:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-08-15 22:20
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.4%2026-08-15 22:25
Smarkets◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-08-15 22:20
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%2.6%2026-08-15 22:25