Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Matteo Berrettini

Início: 2026-08-15 22:26 UTC

Final: Jiri Lehecka 2–1 Matteo Berrettini

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

64%

36%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 63.74%1.57odd justa

EV +3.27%

Vantagem +2.02%

Kelly +5.27%

Crescimento +0.172%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

58.67%63.53%63.41%65.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.421.491.501.6270.42%67.30%66.67%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)

Previsão 36.26%2.76odd justa

EV +0.427%

Vantagem +0.154%

Kelly +0.241%

Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

34.52%36.47%36.59%41.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.302.602.602.7743.48%38.40%38.46%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 63.74%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 36.26%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.57. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.62, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.27%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.27%E +2.02%K +5.27%G +0.172%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-15 06:50
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.47%E -1.61%K -4.66%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-15 09:49
Coolbet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-15 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-15 22:24
DraftKings🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -9.00%E -3.59%K -5.96%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-15 22:25
Pinnacle🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.75%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.39%E -0.509%K -0.806%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-15 22:19
BetAnything🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-15 22:14
Bovada🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-15 22:23
BetUS🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-15 19:14
1xBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-15 22:25
betfred_uk🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
BetRivers🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:10
TABtouch🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:10
Casumo🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
Grosvenor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
NordicBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 22:24
Betsson🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 22:24
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 22:24
ReBet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:10
betPARX🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-15 16:09
PlayUp🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-15 20:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 22:24
TAB🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%	3.2%	2026-08-15 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001%	3.2%	2026-08-15 22:25
FanDuel🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-15 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-15 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 20:44
Neds🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 16:10
Fanatics🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-15 22:25
LeoVegas🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.30%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-15 22:25
Betway🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.298%E -0.108%K -0.170%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-15 20:44
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 20:44
SportsBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-15 20:40
betano_uk🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-15 20:44
Bet Victor🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-15 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-15 22:23
Sky Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-15 16:09
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 22:20
William Hill🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 22:19
Paddy Power🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 16:09
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 20:44
Fliff🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-15 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.58%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-15 20:45

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	0.5%	2026-08-15 22:20
Matchbook◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	0.5%	2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	0.5%	2026-08-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	0.5%	2026-08-15 22:20
ProphetX◎	1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%	1.4%	2026-08-15 22:25
Smarkets◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%	2.3%	2026-08-15 22:20
Novig◎	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%	2.6%	2026-08-15 22:25