Langue:Français
Jiri Lehecka v Matteo Berrettini
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prévision 63.74%1.57cote équitable
EV +3.27%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +5.27%
Croissance +0.172%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%63.53%63.41%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.491.501.6270.42%67.30%66.67%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)
Prévision 36.26%2.76cote équitable
EV +0.427%
Avantage +0.154%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.47%36.59%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.602.602.7743.48%38.40%38.46%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jiri Lehecka (Local) : 63.74% ; Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur) : 36.26%. Pour Jiri Lehecka (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.57. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.62, soit une espérance positive de +3.27%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.27%E +2.02%K +5.27%G +0.172% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -16.61%E -7.22%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 06:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.47%E -1.61%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-15 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -3.11%E -2.04%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -9.00%E -3.59%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.75%E -2.48%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -1.39%E -0.509%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 22:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +0.427%E +0.154%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.02%E -3.37%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.84%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -4.29%E -1.62%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.66%E -3.82%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.55%E -2.96%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.30%E -4.28%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.298%E -0.108%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.11%E -0.782%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.57%E -5.22%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 22:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.01%E -1.91%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 20:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.21%E -5.70%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.36%E -3.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.48%E -6.68%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.92%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 20:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 22:25 |