Language:English
Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti
Head to Head
Jaime Faria (Local)
Prediction 31.75%3.15fair odd
EV +0.013%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.006%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.69%31.82%32.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.1536.36%33.51%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visit)
Prediction 68.25%1.47fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -7.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.07%68.31%68.18%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4274.07%72.60%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jaime Faria (Local): 31.75%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visit): 68.25%. For Jaime Faria (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.1496. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.1500, producing a positive expected value of +0.013%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +0.013%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 06:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -0.940%E -0.301%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -3.09%E -2.17%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 06:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.26%E -0.404%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.50%E -4.74%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 03:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.57%E -0.508%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.57%E -0.508%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 04:02 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.57%E -0.508%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.57%E -0.508%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 05:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.48%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 06:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -4.11%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 03:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 03:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 06:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 06:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 05:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 06:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 05:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -5.70%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.13%E -3.69%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 07:23 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 05:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.92%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 05:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.45%E -3.18%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 06:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 03:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 03:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.18%E -5.28%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 06:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.82%E -4.21%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.50%E -4.74%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.51%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.50%E -4.74%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -7.86%E -5.82%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-19 03:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 07:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 07:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-08-19 07:44 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 07:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 07:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 07:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 07:30 |
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