StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti

Matchstart: 2026-08-20 01:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Jaime Faria 0–2 Lorenzo Musetti

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jaime Faria (Hemma)

Prognos 27.73%3.61rättvist odds
EV +4.00%
Fördel +1.07%
Kelly +1.45%
Tillväxt +0.058%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.60%27.82%27.59%31.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.353.403.7533.33%29.83%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)

Prognos 72.27%1.38rättvist odds
EV -1.72%
Fördel -1.26%
Kelly -4.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.81%72.18%72.41%74.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.261.321.321.3679.37%75.89%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jaime Faria (Hemma): 27.73%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 72.27%. För Jaime Faria (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.61. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.00%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +4.00%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.058%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-20 01:05
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 01:00
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -1.27%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-20 01:06
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.55%E -0.437%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 01:05
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 01:05
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 01:09
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 01:11
DraftKings🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 01:10
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 01:05
Fanatics🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 01:05
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 01:05
ReBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 01:05
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 01:09
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 21:40
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 22:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.22%E -6.47%K -30.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 10:54
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.94%E -7.10%K -34.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 00:44
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.93%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 22:30
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 01:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 20:00
Caesars🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 17:33
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 22:30
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 23:56
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:10
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:09
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 01:10
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.86%K -26.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-20 01:05
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 22:06
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 01:06
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-20 01:06
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 21:40
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 21:40
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 00:44
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 00:45
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 22:06
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 22:06
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-20 01:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-20 01:11
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-20 01:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-08-20 01:11
ProphetX◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-08-20 01:11
Novig◎3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07%2.0%2026-08-20 01:11
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-08-20 00:35