Langue:Français
Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jaime Faria (Local)
Prévision 27.73%3.61cote équitable
EV +4.00%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.058%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%27.82%27.59%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.403.7533.33%29.83%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.27%1.38cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -4.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%72.18%72.41%74.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.261.321.321.3679.37%75.89%75.76%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jaime Faria (Local) : 27.73% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 72.27%. Pour Jaime Faria (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.61. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +4.00%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +4.00%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.058% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -1.27%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.55%E -0.437%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.22%E -6.47%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 10:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.94%E -7.10%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.93%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 17:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.86%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |