Idioma:Español
Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jaime Faria (Local)
Predicción 27.73%3.61momio equitativo
EV +4.00%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%27.82%27.59%31.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.403.7533.33%29.83%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)
Predicción 72.27%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -4.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%72.18%72.41%74.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.321.321.3679.37%75.89%75.76%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jaime Faria (Local): 27.73%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 72.27%. Para Jaime Faria (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.61. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.00%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +4.00%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.058% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -1.27%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.55%E -0.437%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.22%E -6.47%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 10:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.94%E -7.10%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.93%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 17:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.86%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |