Idioma:Español
Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti
Resultado del partido
Jaime Faria (Local)
Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV +3.60%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%30.34%30.49%32.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.093.053.4034.48%32.33%32.79%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)
Predicción 69.53%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -6.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%69.66%69.51%71.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.42%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jaime Faria (Local): 30.47%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 69.53%. Para Jaime Faria (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.28. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.60%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +3.60%E +1.06%K +1.50%G +0.054% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-19 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV +2.99%E +0.886%K +1.26%G +0.038% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 08:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-19 08:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.83%E -5.10%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 08:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-19 08:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.967%E -0.298%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 07:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.967%E -0.298%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.58%E -0.488%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.66%E -1.90%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-19 07:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -1.58%E -0.488%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 07:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-19 08:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.10%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.75%E -3.46%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.75%E -3.46%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 08:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.75%E -3.46%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 08:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 05:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 08:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 08:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 07:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 07:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -8.89%E -2.97%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 08:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -9.50%E -3.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -2.66%E -1.90%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 02:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 01:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 08:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 08:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 08:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-19 08:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 2.9% | 2026-08-19 08:34 |
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