StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-08-19 20:20 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jaime Faria (Heim)

Prognose 30.47%3.28faire Quote
EV +3.60%
Vorteil +1.06%
Kelly +1.50%
Wachstum +0.054%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.42%30.34%30.49%32.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.903.093.053.4034.48%32.33%32.79%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.53%1.44faire Quote
EV -2.66%
Vorteil -1.90%
Kelly -6.65%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.76%69.66%69.51%71.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.42%73.53%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Jaime Faria (Heim): 30.47%; Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts): 69.53%. Für Jaime Faria (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.28. 6 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.40 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.60%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV +3.60%E +1.06%K +1.50%G +0.054%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-19 08:09
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV +2.99%E +0.886%K +1.26%G +0.038%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 08:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-19 08:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.83%E -5.10%K -20.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 08:08
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.556%E +0.169%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 08:34
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.967%E -0.298%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-19 07:55
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.967%E -0.298%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 07:54
1xBet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -1.58%E -0.488%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -2.66%E -1.90%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 07:59
DraftKings🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -1.58%E -0.488%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 07:49
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 07:53
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 07:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 07:54
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 07:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.01%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 07:54
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 07:49
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 07:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 02:00
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:39
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:54
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:49
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-19 08:24
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.10%K -20.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 07:49
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.75%E -3.46%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.75%E -3.46%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:24
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.75%E -3.46%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 07:54
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 07:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -7.06%E -2.32%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 07:49
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:23
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 05:00
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 08:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 07:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 07:49
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 08:39
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 08:29
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 07:49
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 07:49
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.53%E -5.66%K -22.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 07:54
ReBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -8.89%E -2.97%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 08:24
GTbets🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -9.50%E -3.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -2.66%E -1.90%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 01:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.44%E -4.00%K -15.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.14%E -4.55%K -17.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 02:49
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.05%E -2.94%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 01:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-19 08:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-19 08:25
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-19 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%0.5%2026-08-19 08:25
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%1.4%2026-08-19 08:25
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%2.5%2026-08-19 08:40
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%2.9%2026-08-19 08:34