语言:简体中文
Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jaime Faria (主队)
预测 27.73%3.61公平赔率
EV +4.00%
优势 +1.07%
Kelly +1.45%
增长率 +0.058%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.60%27.82%27.59%31.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.353.403.7533.33%29.83%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lorenzo Musetti (客队)
预测 72.27%1.38公平赔率
EV -1.72%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -4.77%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
68.81%72.18%72.41%74.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.321.321.3679.37%75.89%75.76%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jaime Faria (主队)：27.73%；Lorenzo Musetti (客队)：72.27%。 对于“Jaime Faria (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.75，对应+4.00%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +4.00%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.058% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -1.27%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.55%E -0.437%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.22%E -6.47%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 10:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.94%E -7.10%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.93%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 17:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.86%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |