Język:Polski
Jaime Faria v Lorenzo Musetti
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jaime Faria (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 27.73%3.61kurs godziwy
EV +4.00%
Przewaga +1.07%
Kelly +1.45%
Wzrost +0.058%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.60%27.82%27.59%31.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.353.403.7533.33%29.83%29.41%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Lorenzo Musetti (Goście)
Prognoza 72.27%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -1.72%
Przewaga -1.26%
Kelly -4.77%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.36
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
68.81%72.18%72.41%74.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.261.321.321.3679.37%75.89%75.76%73.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jaime Faria (Gospodarze): 27.73%; Lorenzo Musetti (Goście): 72.27%. Dla wyniku Jaime Faria (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.61. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.00%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +4.00%E +1.07%K +1.45%G +0.058% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.77%E -5.25%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 20:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.163%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV -1.27%E -0.358%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.55%E -0.437%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.94%E -0.839%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.21%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.32%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.22%E -6.47%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 10:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -5.71%E -1.68%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.94%E -7.10%K -34.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.93%E -2.39%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.33%E -4.07%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 17:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.48%E -2.57%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -9.87%E -3.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.50%E -5.86%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.16%E -2.36%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.61%E -3.49%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.26%E -3.52%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.05%E -4.66%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 00:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.03%E -4.53%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.88%E -2.92%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.80%E -5.60%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.72%E -1.26%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.93% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.07% | 2.0% | 2026-08-20 01:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-08-20 00:35 |