Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prediction 61.12%1.64fair odd
EV +0.238%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.371%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%61.18%61.14%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.551.6468.03%64.47%64.52%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Baez (Visit)

Prediction 38.88%2.57fair odd
EV -0.857%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.82%38.86%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.382.5545.45%41.68%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zizou Bergs (Local): 61.12%; Sebastian Baez (Visit): 38.88%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.636. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.640, producing a positive expected value of +0.238%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.238%E +0.145%K +0.371%G +0.001%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:50
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.374%E -0.229%K -0.593%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.52%E -5.56%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:50
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.985%E -0.608%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.47%E -6.58%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 00:43
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.82%E -1.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:55
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.02%E -0.803%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:24
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:49
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:25
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 00:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:15
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.26%E -3.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.26%E -3.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.36%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:40
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:14
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.26%E -3.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.26%E -3.40%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:24
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.857%E -0.336%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:54
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.02%E -0.803%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:45
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.52%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:39
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -1.25%E -0.491%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 00:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:15
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:19
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 00:44
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -7.86%E -3.31%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.63%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:40
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.69%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:45
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.63%EV -8.32%E -5.55%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -10.19%E -4.41%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.93%E -5.99%K -18.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.15%E -6.91%K -21.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.80%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-08-05 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%7.0%2026-08-05 01:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%7.0%2026-08-05 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%7.0%2026-08-05 01:15
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%7.5%2026-08-05 01:20