StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-05 15:08 UTC

Endstand: Zizou Bergs 2–1 Sebastian Baez

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Zizou Bergs (Heim)

Prognose 57.43%1.74faire Quote
EV -0.073%
Vorteil -0.042%
Kelly -0.098%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.69%57.47%57.51%59.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.83%59.88%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)

Prognose 42.57%2.35faire Quote
EV -1.66%
Vorteil -0.720%
Kelly -1.27%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.26%42.53%42.49%45.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.062.192.202.3148.54%45.71%45.45%43.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Zizou Bergs (Heim): 57.43%; Sebastian Baez (Auswärts): 42.57%. Für Zizou Bergs (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.741. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.740, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.073%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.073%E -0.042%K -0.098%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -1.22%E -0.710%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 14:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.22%E -0.710%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.62%E -3.51%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:50
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.30%E -5.97%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 14:20
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.94%E -1.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.94%E -1.74%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:10
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:00
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.67%E -2.81%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:25
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:24
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 14:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 14:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 14:05
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -1.66%E -0.720%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 10:40
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.92%E -2.68%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 14:20
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.54%E -4.68%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 14:19
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.54%E -4.68%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.69%E -5.46%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 14:50
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.69%E -5.46%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.98%E -7.09%K -19.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 12:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-05 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-08-05 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-05 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-08-05 14:55
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-05 14:55
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-05 14:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-08-05 14:55