Idioma:Español
Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez
Resultado del partido
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Predicción 61.31%1.63momio equitativo
EV +0.547%
Ventaja +0.333%
Kelly +0.854%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%61.36%61.28%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.541.6468.03%64.61%64.94%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Predicción 38.69%2.58momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.863%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.64%38.72%42.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.402.5545.45%41.52%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Zizou Bergs (Local): 61.31%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 38.69%. Para Zizou Bergs (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.63. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.64, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.547%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.547%E +0.333%K +0.854%G +0.005% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.066%E -0.041%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:50 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.679%E -0.419%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.88%E -6.76%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 00:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.52%E -1.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:49 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.50%E -0.992%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 00:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.50%E -0.992%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 00:39 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 01:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.50%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.63%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -10.62%E -4.60%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 02:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.52I 65.79%NM 48.47% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 51.53% | 35.7% | 2026-08-05 02:15 |