Язык:Русский
Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Zizou Bergs (Хозяева)
Прогноз 57.43%1.74справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.073%
Преимущество -0.042%
Kelly -0.098%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.69%57.47%57.51%59.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.83%59.88%57.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sebastian Baez (Гости)
Прогноз 42.57%2.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.66%
Преимущество -0.720%
Kelly -1.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.31
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.26%42.53%42.49%45.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.062.192.202.3148.54%45.71%45.45%43.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Zizou Bergs (Хозяева): 57.43%; Sebastian Baez (Гости): 42.57%. Для исхода «Zizou Bergs (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.741. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.740, математическое ожидание — -0.073%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.073%E -0.042%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -1.22%E -0.710%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.22%E -0.710%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.62%E -3.51%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.30%E -5.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.94%E -1.74%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.94%E -1.74%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.67%E -2.81%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -1.66%E -0.720%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.92%E -2.68%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.54%E -4.68%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 14:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.54%E -4.68%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.69%E -5.46%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.69%E -5.46%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.98%E -7.09%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 12:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |