Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 61.31%1.63cote équitable
EV +0.547%
Avantage +0.333%
Kelly +0.854%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%61.36%61.28%62.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.541.6468.03%64.61%64.94%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sebastian Baez (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.69%2.58cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -0.863%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.64%38.72%42.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.5545.45%41.52%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Zizou Bergs (Local) : 61.31% ; Sebastian Baez (Visiteur) : 38.69%. Pour Zizou Bergs (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.63. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.64, pour une espérance positive de +0.547%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.547%E +0.333%K +0.854%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:50
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.066%E -0.041%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:50
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.679%E -0.419%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.88%E -6.76%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 00:43
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.52%E -1.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:50
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:49
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:15
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:50
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.50%E -0.992%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 02:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:40
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 01:55
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 01:55
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:54
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.50%E -0.992%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:39
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 02:15
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 02:05
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:54
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 01:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:15
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:19
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 01:55
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.50%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:40
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 02:15
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:45
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.63%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -10.62%E -4.60%K -8.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 02:45
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-08-05 02:30
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%5.7%2026-08-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 02:15
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 48.47%1.43I 69.93%NM 51.53%35.7%2026-08-05 02:15