Langue:Français
Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prévision 57.43%1.74cote équitable
EV -0.073%
Avantage -0.042%
Kelly -0.098%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%57.47%57.51%59.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.83%59.88%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.57%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.720%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.26%42.53%42.49%45.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.062.192.202.3148.54%45.71%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zizou Bergs (Local) : 57.43% ; Sebastian Baez (Visiteur) : 42.57%. Pour Zizou Bergs (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.741. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.740, pour une espérance de -0.073% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.073%E -0.042%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -0.647%E -0.374%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -1.22%E -0.710%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.22%E -0.710%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.62%E -3.51%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -2.37%E -1.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -12.30%E -5.97%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.94%E -1.74%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.94%E -1.74%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.09%E -2.45%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.67%E -2.81%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.64%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.24%E -3.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.37%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.39%E -3.92%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -1.66%E -0.720%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.22%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -5.92%E -2.68%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.96%E -4.30%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.54%E -4.68%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 14:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.54%E -4.68%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.35%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.69%E -5.46%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.69%E -5.46%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.98%E -7.09%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.09%E -0.908%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 12:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61% | 0.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |