StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zizou Bergs v Sebastian Baez

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zizou Bergs (Hemma)

Prognos 61.31%1.63rättvist odds
EV +0.547%
Fördel +0.333%
Kelly +0.854%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.59%61.36%61.28%62.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.471.551.541.6468.03%64.61%64.94%60.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sebastian Baez (Borta)

Prognos 38.69%2.58rättvist odds
EV -1.34%
Fördel -0.525%
Kelly -0.863%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.03%38.64%38.72%42.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.412.402.5545.45%41.52%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Zizou Bergs (Hemma): 61.31%; Sebastian Baez (Borta): 38.69%. För Zizou Bergs (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.63. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.64, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.547%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.547%E +0.333%K +0.854%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 22:50
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.066%E -0.041%K -0.105%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:50
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.679%E -0.419%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.88%E -6.76%K -12.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 00:43
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.52%E -1.58%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 18:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.98%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:50
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:49
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:15
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.36%E -2.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 18:50
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.50%E -0.992%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 02:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.82%E -1.96%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:40
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 01:55
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.97%E -3.21%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 01:55
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:54
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.50%E -0.992%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:40
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 00:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.58%E -3.63%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:39
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 18:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.66%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 02:15
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 02:05
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 01:54
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 01:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:15
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:19
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.20%E -4.05%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 01:55
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.93%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.07%EV -8.30%E -3.50%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.81%E -4.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:40
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -7.42%E -4.92%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-05 02:15
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:45
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.63%EV -8.04%E -5.36%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.37%EV -10.62%E -4.60%K -8.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 00:45
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.65%E -5.81%K -17.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.88%E -6.72%K -21.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-05 02:45
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-08-05 02:30
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%4.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%5.7%2026-08-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%6.0%2026-08-05 02:15
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 48.47%1.43I 69.93%NM 51.53%35.7%2026-08-05 02:15