Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Valentin Vacherot v Mariano Navone

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Valentin Vacherot (Local)

Prediction 60.94%1.64fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.95%60.91%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6266.67%64.64%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mariano Navone (Visit)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV +0.003%
Edge +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%39.05%39.09%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5643.48%40.96%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Valentin Vacherot (Local): 60.94%; Mariano Navone (Visit): 39.06%. For Mariano Navone (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.5599. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.5600, producing a positive expected value of +0.003%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.388%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 15:59
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 15:59
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:45
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 10:30
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:15
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:20
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:25
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 09:10
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:58
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:20
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:10
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:25
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:04
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.38%E -4.85%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 09:19
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 06:04
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 16:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.28%E -0.792%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-08-04 22:50
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-08-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-08-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%2.8%2026-08-04 22:50
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-08-04 23:05