Sprache:Deutsch
Valentin Vacherot v Mariano Navone
Direkter Vergleich
Valentin Vacherot (Heim)
Prognose 60.94%1.64faire Quote
EV -1.28%
Vorteil -0.792%
Kelly -2.07%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.67%60.95%60.91%62.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.551.531.6266.67%64.70%65.36%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Mariano Navone (Auswärts)
Prognose 39.06%2.56faire Quote
EV +0.003%
Vorteil +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.56
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.65%39.05%39.09%41.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.442.452.5643.48%40.92%40.82%39.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Valentin Vacherot (Heim): 60.94%; Mariano Navone (Auswärts): 39.06%. Für Mariano Navone (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.5599. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.5600 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.003%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.388%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.38%E -4.85%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 09:19 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 06:04 |
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.28%E -0.792%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:44 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |