Idioma:Español
Valentin Vacherot v Mariano Navone
Resultado del partido
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Predicción 60.94%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%60.95%60.91%62.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.531.6266.67%64.70%65.36%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 39.06%2.56momio equitativo
EV +0.003%
Ventaja +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.65%39.05%39.09%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.5643.48%40.92%40.82%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Valentin Vacherot (Local): 60.94%; Mariano Navone (Visitante): 39.06%. Para Mariano Navone (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.5599. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.5600, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.003%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 21:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.388%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:29 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:55 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.38%E -4.85%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.38%E -4.85%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 09:19 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 06:04 |
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.28%E -0.792%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 00:10 |