Lingua:Italiano
Valentin Vacherot v Mariano Navone
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Valentin Vacherot (Casa)
Previsione 59.56%1.68quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.684%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.44%59.56%59.68%61.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.591.591.6665.79%63.05%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Mariano Navone (Trasferta)
Previsione 40.44%2.47quota equa
EV +0.299%
Vantaggio +0.120%
Kelly +0.202%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.75%40.44%40.32%42.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.372.4845.45%42.33%42.19%40.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Valentin Vacherot (Casa): 59.56%; Mariano Navone (Trasferta): 40.44%. Per Mariano Navone (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.47. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.48, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.299%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +0.299%E +0.120%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 03:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.510%E -0.207%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.510%E -0.207%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.92%E -1.79%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.88%E -5.80%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.33%E -1.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.14%E -0.684%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -5.36%E -2.29%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.77%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 14:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -1.14%E -0.684%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -9.41%E -4.20%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 14:45 |