預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Valentin Vacherot v Mariano Navone

開賽時間: 2026-08-05 15:09 UTC

最終賽果: Valentin Vacherot 1–2 Mariano Navone

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Valentin Vacherot (主隊)

預測 59.56%1.68公平賠率
EV -1.14%
優勢 -0.684%
Kelly -1.72%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.66

博彩公司預測分布
57.44%59.56%59.68%61.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.521.591.591.6665.79%63.05%62.89%60.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Mariano Navone (客隊)

預測 40.44%2.47公平賠率
EV +0.299%
優勢 +0.120%
Kelly +0.202%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 2.48

博彩公司預測分布
38.75%40.44%40.32%42.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.362.372.4845.45%42.33%42.19%40.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Valentin Vacherot (主隊):59.56%;Mariano Navone (客隊):40.44%。 對於「Mariano Navone (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.47的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.48,對應+0.299%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +0.299%E +0.120%K +0.202%G +0.001%2.4%2026-08-05 03:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.510%E -0.207%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -0.510%E -0.207%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 10:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.915%E -0.373%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.92%E -1.79%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 14:49
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 13:15
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 10:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.88%E -5.80%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.75%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 10:50
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:05
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.30%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 13:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.33%E -1.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 13:10
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 13:15
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 13:14
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 13:15
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:50
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 13:10
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -1.14%E -0.684%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -5.36%E -2.29%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.77%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 13:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 14:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 12:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.11%E -2.55%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.98%E -3.04%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 13:09
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 14:40
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 14:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 13:10
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -1.14%E -0.684%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -9.41%E -4.20%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 14:55
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.03%E -5.01%K -9.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 14:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-05 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-05 14:45
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-05 14:45
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-05 14:55
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-08-05 14:55
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-08-05 14:45