Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Valentin Vacherot v Mariano Navone

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Valentin Vacherot (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.94%1.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.28%
Przewaga -0.792%
Kelly -2.07%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.67%60.95%60.91%62.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.551.531.6266.67%64.70%65.36%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Mariano Navone (Goście)

Prognoza 39.06%2.56kurs godziwy
EV +0.003%
Przewaga +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.65%39.05%39.09%41.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.442.452.5643.48%40.92%40.82%39.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Valentin Vacherot (Gospodarze): 60.94%; Mariano Navone (Goście): 39.06%. Dla wyniku Mariano Navone (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.5599. 3 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 2.5600, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +0.003%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.388%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 15:59
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 15:59
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:45
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 10:30
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:15
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:20
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:25
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 09:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:59
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:58
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:20
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:10
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:04
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.38%E -4.85%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 09:19
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 06:04
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 16:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.28%E -0.792%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:44
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-04 23:50
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%5.1%2026-08-05 00:10