Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Valentin Vacherot v Mariano Navone

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Valentin Vacherot (Local)

Prévision 60.94%1.64cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.792%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.95%60.91%62.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.531.6266.67%64.70%65.36%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mariano Navone (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.06%2.56cote équitable
EV +0.003%
Avantage +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.65%39.05%39.09%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.452.5643.48%40.92%40.82%39.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Valentin Vacherot (Local) : 60.94% ; Mariano Navone (Visiteur) : 39.06%. Pour Mariano Navone (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.5599. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.5600, pour une espérance positive de +0.003%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.388%E -0.152%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:20
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.56%E -0.619%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 15:59
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.34%E -0.936%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.90%E -1.59%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 16:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 15:59
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:45
Dabble (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:10
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.16%E -4.00%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 10:30
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:15
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.69%E -1.92%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:15
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:20
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -5.08%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 17:25
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.72%E -2.35%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 09:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 15:59
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:58
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 00:00
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.38%E -4.85%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 00:10
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.60%E -5.73%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.25%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.33%E -2.76%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 22:20
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:10
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 14:15
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.94%E -3.17%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:05
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.55%E -3.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:04
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.38%E -4.85%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 09:19
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -1.89%E -1.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 06:04
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -6.77%E -4.42%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -8.59%E -3.67%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 16:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.28%E -0.792%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-08-04 23:50
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-08-05 00:10
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%5.1%2026-08-05 00:10