语言:简体中文
Ugo Humbert v Daniel Merida Aguilar
胜负盘
Ugo Humbert (主队)
预测 73.58%1.36公平赔率
EV -5.09%
优势 -3.94%
Kelly -17.54%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
72.49%73.62%73.62%75.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.281.291.2980.00%78.21%77.82%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Daniel Merida Aguilar (客队)
预测 26.42%3.78公平赔率
EV +3.05%
优势 +0.783%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 3.90
博彩公司预测分布
24.86%26.38%26.38%27.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.81%27.78%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Ugo Humbert (主队)：73.58%；Daniel Merida Aguilar (客队)：26.42%。 对于“Daniel Merida Aguilar (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.78。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.90，由此产生+3.05%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.05%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 02:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +0.940%E +0.246%K +0.333%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV +0.147%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -1.17%E -0.314%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -2.76%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 02:29 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:59 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 02:04 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 01:14 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 01:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.52% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.48% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 56.85% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 43.15% | 39.6% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 56.85% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 43.15% | 39.6% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 58.04% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 41.96% | 43.6% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |