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Ugo Humbert v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Direkter Vergleich
Ugo Humbert (Heim)
Prognose 73.58%1.36faire Quote
EV -5.09%
Vorteil -3.94%
Kelly -17.54%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.49%73.62%73.62%75.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.281.291.2980.00%78.21%77.82%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts)
Prognose 26.42%3.78faire Quote
EV +3.05%
Vorteil +0.783%
Kelly +1.05%
Wachstum +0.032%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.90
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.86%26.38%26.38%27.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.81%27.78%25.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Ugo Humbert (Heim): 73.58%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts): 26.42%. Für Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.78. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.90 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.05%.
Wettanbieterquoten (34 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.05%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 02:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +0.940%E +0.246%K +0.333%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV +0.147%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -1.17%E -0.314%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -2.76%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 02:29 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:59 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 02:04 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 01:14 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 01:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.52% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.48% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 56.85% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 43.15% | 39.6% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 56.85% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 43.15% | 39.6% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 58.04% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 41.96% | 43.6% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |