Sprache:Deutsch
Ugo Humbert v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Ugo Humbert (Heim)
Prognose 67.84%1.47faire Quote
EV -2.31%
Vorteil -1.60%
Kelly -5.24%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.44
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.53%67.87%67.81%69.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.63%71.43%69.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts)
Prognose 32.16%3.11faire Quote
EV -0.313%
Vorteil -0.101%
Kelly -0.149%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.80%32.13%32.19%34.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.702.962.983.1037.04%33.77%33.56%32.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Ugo Humbert (Heim): 67.84%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts): 32.16%. Für Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.11. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.10, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.313%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.31%E -1.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -2.98%E -2.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.98%E -2.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 10:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.17%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.71%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.71%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 20:11 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 20:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.313%E -0.101%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.28%E -0.416%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |