StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Ugo Humbert v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Aanvang: 2026-08-05 22:56 UTC

Eindstand: Ugo Humbert 0–2 Daniel Merida Aguilar

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

65 wedaanbieders (22 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Ugo Humbert (Thuis)

Prognose 67.84%1.47margevrije odds
EV -2.31%
Voordeel -1.60%
Kelly -5.24%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.44

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
65.53%67.87%67.81%69.20%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.63%71.43%69.44%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Uit)

Prognose 32.16%3.11margevrije odds
EV -0.313%
Voordeel -0.101%
Kelly -0.149%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
30.80%32.13%32.19%34.47%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.702.962.983.1037.04%33.77%33.56%32.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Ugo Humbert (Thuis): 67.84%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Uit): 32.16%. Voor Daniel Merida Aguilar (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.11. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau: de beste waren 3.10, met een verwachtingswaarde van -0.313%; ze leverden geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (65 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitMargeBijgewerkt
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.31%E -1.60%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -2.98%E -2.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.98%E -2.09%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 10:24
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 09:45
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.17%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 22:40
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 08:54
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 08:55
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 08:55
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 21:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 10:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 13:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 10:55
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 10:35
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 10:35
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 10:35
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:25
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 10:35
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 10:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 10:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:53
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 20:10
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.71%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.71%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 08:54
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 20:11
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 20:12
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 10:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.313%E -0.101%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.28%E -0.416%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 10:34
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 16:35
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 11:14
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 07:45
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (7)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-05 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-05 22:20
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-08-05 22:40
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-08-05 22:25
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-08-05 22:20