Språk:Svenska
Ugo Humbert v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Ugo Humbert (Hemma)
Prognos 67.84%1.47rättvist odds
EV -2.31%
Fördel -1.60%
Kelly -5.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.53%67.87%67.81%69.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.63%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta)
Prognos 32.16%3.11rättvist odds
EV -0.313%
Fördel -0.101%
Kelly -0.149%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.80%32.13%32.19%34.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.962.983.1037.04%33.77%33.56%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ugo Humbert (Hemma): 67.84%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta): 32.16%. För Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.11. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.10, med väntevärdet -0.313%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.
Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma ▼ | Borta | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.31%E -1.60%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -2.98%E -2.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.98%E -2.09%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 10:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.17%E -1.40%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.66%E -2.58%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.81%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.19%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.34%E -3.08%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 08:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.39%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.71%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.71%E -2.69%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 20:11 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.02%E -3.59%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 20:12 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.70%E -4.10%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.313%E -0.101%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -1.28%E -0.416%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.92%E -0.630%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.38%E -4.62%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.09%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.91%EV -2.24%E -0.738%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 07:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.73%E -5.69%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.41%E -6.23%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.14%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 22:20 |