Språk:Svenska
Ugo Humbert v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Matchresultat
Ugo Humbert (Hemma)
Prognos 73.58%1.36rättvist odds
EV -5.09%
Fördel -3.94%
Kelly -17.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.49%73.62%73.62%75.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.251.281.291.2980.00%78.21%77.82%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta)
Prognos 26.42%3.78rättvist odds
EV +3.05%
Fördel +0.783%
Kelly +1.05%
Tillväxt +0.032%
med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.86%26.38%26.38%27.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.81%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Ugo Humbert (Hemma): 73.58%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta): 26.42%. För Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.78. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.90, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.05%.
Spelbolagsodds (34 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +3.05%E +0.783%K +1.05%G +0.032% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 02:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +0.940%E +0.246%K +0.333%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV +0.147%E +0.039%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.910%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -1.17%E -0.314%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -2.76%E -0.750%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:09 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 02:29 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:59 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:05 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 02:04 |
| ReBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 01:14 |
| betano_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 01:13 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.52% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.48% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 56.85% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 43.15% | 39.6% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 56.85% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 43.15% | 39.6% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 58.04% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 41.96% | 43.6% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |