The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Prediction 55.07%1.82fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.76%55.03%55.12%55.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.711.7561.35%58.54%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visit)

Prediction 44.93%2.23fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.942%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%44.97%44.88%46.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.082.102.1850.51%47.96%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 55.07%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visit): 44.93%. For Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -2.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 21:15
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:35
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 01:40
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 01:25
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 20:35
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 20:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:35
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.10%E -2.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 00:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 23:36
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.75%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.45%E -3.61%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 22:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:35
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 20:40
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -9.13%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.24%E -4.58%K -9.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.68%E -5.90%K -15.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -11.04%E -5.58%K -11.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.85%EV -10.23%E -6.28%K -16.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.04%E -5.58%K -11.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-08-08 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%10.0%2026-08-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%10.0%2026-08-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%10.4%2026-08-08 01:20
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.00%12.2%2026-08-07 20:35