Język:Polski
Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Tallon Griekspoor (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 53.45%1.87kurs godziwy
EV -2.72%
Przewaga -1.50%
Kelly -3.32%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.82
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.00%53.53%53.33%54.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.781.791.8258.14%56.32%55.87%54.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Goście)
Prognoza 46.55%2.15kurs godziwy
EV -0.380%
Przewaga -0.178%
Kelly -0.334%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.14
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.17%46.47%46.67%48.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.032.022.1451.28%49.25%49.50%46.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Tallon Griekspoor (Gospodarze): 53.45%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Goście): 46.55%. Dla wyniku Daniel Merida Aguilar (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.15. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.14, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.380%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.26%E -1.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 09:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.380%E -0.178%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 06:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 11:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.17%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.29%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 11:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |