Idioma:Português
Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Previsão 53.45%1.87odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.53%53.33%54.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.781.791.8258.14%56.32%55.87%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante)
Previsão 46.55%2.15odd justa
EV -0.380%
Vantagem -0.178%
Kelly -0.334%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.47%46.67%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.032.022.1451.28%49.25%49.50%46.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 53.45%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante): 46.55%. Para Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.14, com valor esperado de -0.380%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.26%E -1.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 09:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.380%E -0.178%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 06:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 11:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.17%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.29%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 11:59 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |