StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 16:41 UTC

Endstand: Tallon Griekspoor 0–2 Daniel Merida Aguilar

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tallon Griekspoor (Heim)

Prognose 53.45%1.87faire Quote
EV -2.72%
Vorteil -1.50%
Kelly -3.32%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.82

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.00%53.53%53.33%54.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.721.781.791.8258.14%56.32%55.87%54.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.55%2.15faire Quote
EV -0.380%
Vorteil -0.178%
Kelly -0.334%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.14

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.17%46.47%46.67%48.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.952.032.022.1451.28%49.25%49.50%46.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Tallon Griekspoor (Heim): 53.45%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts): 46.55%. Für Daniel Merida Aguilar (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.15. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.14, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.380%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:20
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.26%E -1.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:20
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 09:34
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:59
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.380%E -0.178%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 06:20
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:59
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:59
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:34
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.17%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.29%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 15:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 15:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 11:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-09 16:25
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-09 16:25