StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 16:41 UTC

Slutresultat: Tallon Griekspoor 0–2 Daniel Merida Aguilar

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tallon Griekspoor (Hemma)

Prognos 53.45%1.87rättvist odds
EV -2.72%
Fördel -1.50%
Kelly -3.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.00%53.53%53.33%54.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.721.781.791.8258.14%56.32%55.87%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta)

Prognos 46.55%2.15rättvist odds
EV -0.380%
Fördel -0.178%
Kelly -0.334%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.17%46.47%46.67%48.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.032.022.1451.28%49.25%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tallon Griekspoor (Hemma): 53.45%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta): 46.55%. För Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.15. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.14, med väntevärdet -0.380%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:20
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.26%E -1.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:20
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 09:34
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:59
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.380%E -0.178%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 06:20
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:59
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:59
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:34
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.17%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.29%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 15:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 15:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 11:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-09 16:25
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-09 16:25