StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tallon Griekspoor (Hemma)

Prognos 55.07%1.82rättvist odds
EV -3.63%
Fördel -2.07%
Kelly -4.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.76%55.03%55.12%55.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.631.711.711.7561.35%58.54%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta)

Prognos 44.93%2.23rättvist odds
EV -2.05%
Fördel -0.942%
Kelly -1.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.21%44.97%44.88%46.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.982.082.102.1850.51%47.96%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Tallon Griekspoor (Hemma): 55.07%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta): 44.93%. För Daniel Merida Aguilar (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.23. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.18, med väntevärdet -2.05%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 21:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 21:15
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 00:35
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 01:40
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:35
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 20:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 01:25
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 20:35
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 20:35
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 22:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:35
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.10%E -2.92%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 00:24
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 22:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 23:36
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.75%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.45%E -3.61%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 22:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 20:35
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 20:40
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -9.13%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.24%E -4.58%K -9.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 20:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.68%E -5.90%K -15.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -11.04%E -5.58%K -11.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.85%EV -10.23%E -6.28%K -16.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.04%E -5.58%K -11.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 20:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-08-08 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%10.0%2026-08-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%10.0%2026-08-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%10.0%2026-08-08 01:35
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.00%12.2%2026-08-07 20:35