Idioma:Español
Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Resultado del partido
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Predicción 55.07%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.76%55.03%55.12%55.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.711.711.7561.35%58.54%58.48%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante)
Predicción 44.93%2.23momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.942%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.21%44.97%44.88%46.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.082.102.1850.51%47.96%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 55.07%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante): 44.93%. Para Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.23. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.18, con un valor esperado de -2.05%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.95%E -1.37%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.73%E -2.73%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 01:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.14%E -5.07%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -4.30%E -2.02%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 02:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.10%E -2.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 00:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 23:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.75%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.45%E -3.61%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-07 22:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.89%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -9.13%E -5.54%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.24%E -4.58%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.68%E -5.90%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -11.04%E -5.58%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.85%EV -10.23%E -6.28%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.15%EV -11.04%E -5.58%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 01:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.00% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 20:35 |