Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tallon Griekspoor v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Inizio: 2026-08-09 16:41 UTC

Finale: Tallon Griekspoor 0–2 Daniel Merida Aguilar

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

66 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tallon Griekspoor (Casa)

Previsione 53.45%1.87quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.00%53.53%53.33%54.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.781.791.8258.14%56.32%55.87%54.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.55%2.15quota equa
EV -0.380%
Vantaggio -0.178%
Kelly -0.334%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%46.47%46.67%48.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.032.022.1451.28%49.25%49.50%46.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tallon Griekspoor (Casa): 53.45%; Daniel Merida Aguilar (Trasferta): 46.55%. Per Daniel Merida Aguilar (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.15. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.14, con un valore atteso del -0.380%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.72%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:20
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.26%E -1.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:20
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:24
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 09:34
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:59
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -0.380%E -0.178%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 06:20
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:59
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:59
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.33%E -2.42%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 07:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.50%E -2.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:34
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 16:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.17%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.97%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.29%E -4.21%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.46%E -3.69%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.23%E -4.73%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 15:10
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 15:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.24%E -1.07%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.53%E -4.35%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 11:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-08-09 16:25
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-09 16:25
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-09 16:25