Language:English
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Head to Head
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prediction 55.74%1.79fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%55.79%55.70%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.671.7461.73%59.35%59.70%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visit)
Prediction 44.26%2.26fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.21%44.30%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.68%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rafael Jodar (Local): 55.74%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visit): 44.26%. For Lorenzo Musetti (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.21, with an expected value of -2.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.56%E -2.06%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.56%E -2.06%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.56%E -2.06%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.56%E -2.06%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 08:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 08:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 07:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.19%E -0.993%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.41%E -2.04%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.41%E -2.04%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.79%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.79%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.79%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.35%E -3.78%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.35%E -3.78%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.95%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.47%E -4.50%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.47%E -4.50%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.50%E -3.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -8.58%E -5.23%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.58%E -5.23%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.49%E -5.74%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.14%E -5.61%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-06 07:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.70%E -5.98%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |