Sprache:Deutsch
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Rafael Jodar (Heim)
Prognose 54.92%1.82faire Quote
EV +1.61%
Vorteil +0.870%
Kelly +1.89%
Wachstum +0.031%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.70%54.96%54.84%56.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.731.731.8559.88%57.85%57.80%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts)
Prognose 45.08%2.22faire Quote
EV -2.64%
Vorteil -1.22%
Kelly -2.27%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.16
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
43.98%45.04%45.16%48.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.982.092.102.1650.51%47.76%47.62%46.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 54.92%; Lorenzo Musetti (Auswärts): 45.08%. Für Rafael Jodar (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.82. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.85 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.61%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +1.61%E +0.870%K +1.89%G +0.031% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -10.75%E -5.43%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.69%E -3.23%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |