Lingua:Italiano
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rafael Jodar (Casa)
Previsione 54.92%1.82quota equa
EV +1.61%
Vantaggio +0.870%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescita +0.031%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.70%54.96%54.84%56.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.731.731.8559.88%57.85%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.08%2.22quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.98%45.04%45.16%48.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.092.102.1650.51%47.76%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rafael Jodar (Casa): 54.92%; Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta): 45.08%. Per Rafael Jodar (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.82. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.85, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.61%.
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +1.61%E +0.870%K +1.89%G +0.031% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -10.75%E -5.43%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.69%E -3.23%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |