StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-08-06 23:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 55.77%1.79rättvist odds
EV -2.96%
Fördel -1.70%
Kelly -4.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.38%55.83%55.77%57.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.25%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)

Prognos 44.23%2.26rättvist odds
EV -1.80%
Fördel -0.812%
Kelly -1.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.97%44.17%44.23%45.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.142.152.2250.00%46.67%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 55.77%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 44.23%. För Lorenzo Musetti (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.26. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.22, med väntevärdet -1.80%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 08:54
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 08:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.72%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 08:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 08:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 07:49
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 08:06
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.25%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 08:39
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 09:05
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 08:15
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 09:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 07:49
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 07:49
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 08:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:37
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 08:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 07:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 08:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 09:05
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 07:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 07:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 07:49
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.55%E -3.61%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 07:49
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 07:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 08:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.54%E -5.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.53%E -5.77%K -11.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 08:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 07:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 07:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-06 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-06 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-06 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-08-06 09:05
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-06 09:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-08-06 08:55