Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-08-06 23:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 55.77%1.79odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.70%
Kelly -4.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%55.83%55.77%57.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.25%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)

Previsão 44.23%2.26odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.812%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.97%44.17%44.23%45.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.152.2250.00%46.67%46.51%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 55.77%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 44.23%. Para Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.26. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.22, com valor esperado de -1.80%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 08:54
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 08:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.72%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 08:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 08:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 07:49
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 08:06
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.25%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 08:39
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 07:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 09:05
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 08:15
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 09:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 07:49
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 07:49
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 08:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:37
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 08:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 07:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 07:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 08:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 09:05
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 07:55
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 07:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 07:49
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.55%E -3.61%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 07:49
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 07:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 08:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.54%E -5.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.53%E -5.77%K -11.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 08:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-06 07:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 07:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-08-06 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-06 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-06 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-08-06 09:05
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-08-06 09:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-08-06 08:55