Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 54.92%1.82cote équitable
EV +1.61%
Avantage +0.870%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.70%54.96%54.84%56.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.8559.88%57.85%57.80%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.08%2.22cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.98%45.04%45.16%48.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.092.102.1650.51%47.76%47.62%46.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 54.92% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 45.08%. Pour Rafael Jodar (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.82. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.61%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +1.61%E +0.870%K +1.89%G +0.031% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -10.75%E -5.43%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 21:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.92%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.24%E -3.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 10:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.55%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 19:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:16 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.99%E -1.87%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.22%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.08%E -3.56%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.69%E -3.23%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 21:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.54%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 22:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.34%E -2.54%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 21:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 22:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 22:46 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 22:56 |