Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 55.77%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.38%55.83%55.77%57.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.25%59.52%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.23%2.26cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.812%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.97%44.17%44.23%45.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2250.00%46.67%46.51%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 55.77% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 44.23%. Pour Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.22, pour une espérance de -1.80% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.72%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 08:06 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.25%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 08:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 08:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:37 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.55%E -3.61%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.54%E -5.21%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.53%E -5.77%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-06 07:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 07:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 08:55 |