Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Lorenzo Musetti
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 55.77%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -4.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.38%55.83%55.77%57.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.681.7461.73%59.25%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante)
Predicción 44.23%2.26momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.812%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.97%44.17%44.23%45.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2250.00%46.67%46.51%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Rafael Jodar (Local): 55.77%; Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante): 44.23%. Para Lorenzo Musetti (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.26. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.22, con un valor esperado de -1.80%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.72%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 08:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 08:06 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.25%E -1.02%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.46%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 08:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.80%E -0.812%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 08:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:37 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 08:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 07:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 08:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.43%E -4.47%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.55%E -3.61%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 07:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 07:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.98%E -4.84%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.34%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 08:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.54%E -5.21%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.53%E -5.77%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.10%E -5.58%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-06 07:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.66%E -5.96%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 07:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 09:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-08-06 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 08:55 |