Language:English
Nuno Borges v Luciano Darderi
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 60.13%1.66fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -6.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%60.10%60.13%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.571.6066.67%63.92%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visit)
Prediction 39.87%2.51fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%39.90%39.87%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.382.4245.45%42.56%42.02%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nuno Borges (Local): 60.13%; Luciano Darderi (Visit): 39.87%. For Luciano Darderi (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.42, with an expected value of -3.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 07:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 05:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 06:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 06:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 06:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 06:11 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 05:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -7.49%E -3.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 06:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.70%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.29%E -3.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 05:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.89%E -4.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 05:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.79%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.21%EV -9.89%E -4.37%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 06:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 05:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00% | 78.6% | 2026-08-07 06:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00% | 78.6% | 2026-08-07 06:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00% | 78.6% | 2026-08-07 06:56 |